TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No61c51,577$31,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,220.818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c15,125$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.15,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c11,575$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes39c3,634$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.163148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No57c3,068$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.267950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes5c2,349$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes40c1,862$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0714540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes16c1,817$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.543333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes20c1,591$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.993638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes39c988.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c965.22$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.942,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes41c964.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4923057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes8c909.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.754332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c800$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes39c632.95$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.853259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes39c617.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8527549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Yes10c567.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.761030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c558.38$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.311,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes28c536.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes39c520.24$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c520.24$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.891,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes38c499.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.974953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes40c444.65$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3817251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes16c442.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.583,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Yes39c441.24$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c409.09$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.911,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes39c404.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.93773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed Yes18c373.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.151338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes38c365.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.074156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes39c352.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes39c352.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.528763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes37c328.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9916842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Yes39c299.49$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes12c274.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes8c259.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.783910.3%4 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes14c257.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.541,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes44c243.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes39c240.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.933046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes39c234.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.287133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c231.62$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.881,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Yes39c213.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes38c179.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes39c177.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Yes39c162.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes46c157.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Yes38c147$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes18c142.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.732326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes39c141.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Yes38c118.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes42c118.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6924253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Yes39c117.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes39c112.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.94369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d3…522abacked Yes17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x455f…a6c0backed Yes11c109.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes41c108.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2923542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.388149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes13c103.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4813228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9986…6d93backed Yes38c102.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes42c97.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.897441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c97.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.719452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No62c93.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4816653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6a…0d29backed Yes39c91.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes23c82.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.168137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Yes39c78.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes39c73.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5210564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Yes39c71.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No62c67.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No62c66.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c66.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No62c66.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3436757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No62c66.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No62c66.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3412361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9612259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed No69c57.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.813452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes39c55.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.966451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed No62c54.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.189340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Yes39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.278647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes39c46.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.965648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Yes38c44.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c44.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…78f7backed Yes39c41.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No63c40.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0611963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Yes39c40.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No62c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.978851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Yes39c36.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-59.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…a6eabacked Yes37c36.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Yes39c35.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes39c33.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.923167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab8…c726backed Yes39c31.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Yes46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes39c29.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.368451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes43c28.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.469353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes39c28.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2718543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.