TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ac4…ef2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.37
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.69
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.07
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$43.98
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.61
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$81.71
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$184.77
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.87
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.32
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.25
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$110.14
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$276.25
EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.97
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$81.87
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$239
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$50.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.6
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.3
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$297.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-78.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.9
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$85.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.