South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148fd74463c553efb03d5a6ac32dffeaa38d6b9d154946a104cb8cddf7ed5059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 15,199$9,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,411.59 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 5,693$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 63c | 5,589$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.04 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 4,235$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,212$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 39c | 1,703$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.04 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 38c | 1,625$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 38c | 1,393$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.68 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,122$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 50c | 994.31$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 47c | 952.89$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.85 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 867$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 58c | 864.76$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.56 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 811.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 548.03$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 39c | 501.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 43c | 487.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 406.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 40c | 336.25$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 59c | 332.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 244.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 49c | 216.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 61c | 207.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 38c | 198.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 64c | 194.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 59c | 187.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 69c | 180.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 43c | 172.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 37c | 161.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 59c | 154.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 52c | 110.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 48c | 107.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 61c | 99.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 59c | 96.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 59c | 93.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 49c | 87.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Yes | 17c | 87.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 45c | 87.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 37c | 82.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed No | 45c | 81.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 38c | 78.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…5923backed Yes | 59c | 75.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 49c | 49.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 45c | 48.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes | 59c | 47.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed No | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 42.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 51c | 41.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 48c | 39.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 44c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 44c | 35.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 61c | 31.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Yes | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…d272backed No | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 25.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed No | 49c | 25.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…8f5dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes | 64c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…b804backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 70c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed Yes | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…702abacked Yes | 68c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.