Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28be6d24b6684bed60324359ef62d0d4efceb3f3f5115f97a644716e9664fa25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 57c | 7,634$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.71 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 45c | 2,749$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 2,608$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.76 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 39c | 2,450$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,613$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 1,265$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.47 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 44c | 1,080$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 1,051$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 44c | 1,041$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 1,038$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.93 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.49 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 904.16$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.29 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 676.57$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 57c | 620.2$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.51 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 57c | 552.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 519.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.25 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 47c | 390.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 29c | 317.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 43c | 299.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.04 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 43c | 279.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 56c | 257.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b1c4backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 66c | 240$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 29c | 226.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed Yes | 78c | 190$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 169.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 163.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 43c | 160$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 31c | 142.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 45c | 98.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 41c | 97.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 42c | 95.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 48c | 91.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 88.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 42c | 86.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 46c | 84.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 59c | 83.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 83.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 49c | 82.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 40c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 46c | 60.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 60.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 77c | 57.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 23c | 54.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…ecbebacked No | 59c | 50.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…b10cbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 77c | 37.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…49eebacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yes | 45c | 32.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 53c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 59c | 25.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 72c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…42a7backed Yes | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will IFK Göteborg vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?No won
- Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.