TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5997…5448

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Bastad: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja Semenistajabacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$150.35
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon WTA: Lois Boisson vs Elena Rybakinabacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.39
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynetsbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Figueira Da Foz: Manon Leonard vs Alina Charaevabacked Manon Leonard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+729.3%+$364.63
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$137.6
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+401.3%+$802.51
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$129.07
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+217.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+217.3%+$217.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.