TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Lynx56c21,560$12,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,485.4564152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Lynx62c11,158$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.1936750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Minnesota Lynx55c9,388$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.648937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Washington Mystics44c7,182$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.114450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics33c7,132$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.5950646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx56c6,910$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Washington Mystics40c5,992$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.6210338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Minnesota Lynx77c5,629$4,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Minnesota Lynx55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Washington Mystics41c4,874$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics30c4,743$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.4199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Washington Mystics44c3,640$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Minnesota Lynx55c3,530$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics45c3,522$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.613048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Mystics44c3,245$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.5923245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics44c3,163$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.0228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics45c3,062$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.9640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Lynx56c2,541$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.966735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx70c2,540$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.651,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics46c2,458$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.7523746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics25c2,197$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0637141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb63…b3debacked Washington Mystics13c2,136$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics44c2,041$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.7483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Washington Mystics44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8809650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Washington Mystics39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed Minnesota Lynx71c1,835$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Washington Mystics44c1,820$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics44c1,675$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.999140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics44c1,650$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.7141145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics2c1,550$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx75c1,462$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8132150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Minnesota Lynx79c1,400$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Washington Mystics39c1,391$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.923444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics30c1,367$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.311,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Minnesota Lynx60c1,315$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.753941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed Washington Mystics8c1,231$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed Washington Mystics44c1,162$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx77c1,128$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Minnesota Lynx73c1,099$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.265863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Washington Mystics46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.336845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Minnesota Lynx75c1,067$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Lynx60c1,023$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Minnesota Lynx54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d0…5fc2backed Washington Mystics26c930.05$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics33c912.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Lynx75c880.96$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3450952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Mystics23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eba…f2babacked Minnesota Lynx63c783.94$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Lynx70c778.59$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8113256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Washington Mystics26c769.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Washington Mystics39c765.69$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.424456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd09…42d9backed Minnesota Lynx57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics41c689$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2919458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Washington Mystics21c688.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Minnesota Lynx73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Minnesota Lynx55c642.38$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.079354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Lynx63c632.16$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.133228.1%9 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Mystics42c611.24$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.154456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Mystics31c605.52$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5815250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Minnesota Lynx56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2648657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Minnesota Lynx80c583$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.612144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Mystics38c580$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.46154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Washington Mystics45c567.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Washington Mystics44c557.74$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Minnesota Lynx54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Lynx75c547.3$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.027740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics46c532.16$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Washington Mystics30c523.74$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.588062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Lynx73c512.3$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.361770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics40c500$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Minnesota Lynx60c499.98$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.993850%19 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Minnesota Lynx61c490.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.488743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Lynx77c456.17$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8311841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Washington Mystics36c445.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.275154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Mystics31c438.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5217656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Mystics26c423.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.656339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Minnesota Lynx57c416.02$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.893938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…4d60backed Washington Mystics25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Washington Mystics24c399$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Washington Mystics44c379.35$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.199651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Minnesota Lynx72c348.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0123955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Washington Mystics45c348.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.786440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Minnesota Lynx73c336.95$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8510454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Washington Mystics39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Minnesota Lynx76c317.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed Minnesota Lynx63c315.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Minnesota Lynx72c309.38$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.963762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Minnesota Lynx76c289.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Washington Mystics44c285.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1417946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Minnesota Lynx68c258.74$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5631448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Washington Mystics16c255.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Washington Mystics39c255.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics22c254.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3837850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…973cbacked Washington Mystics44c252$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Minnesota Lynx80c248.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Lynx62c242.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Washington Mystics40c239.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.222944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Washington Mystics44c234.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Washington Mystics43c232.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Washington Mystics45c230$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.611353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.