WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4229689a8f42bad4819472ee6e95ada6815a92e02295ccbe8eef3b4605478a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 9,240$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.8 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 7,704$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.29 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 42c | 3,358$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 2,162$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 58c | 2,109$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.77 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 1,948$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.38 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,313$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 27c | 1,118$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Over | 48c | 1,050$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.35 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 53c | 944.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 68c | 880.81$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 47c | 741.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 2c | 684.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 77c | 455.14$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 344.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 78c | 256.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 67c | 256.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 75c | 184.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 152.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 71c | 134$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 127.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 121.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 32c | 114.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 33c | 112.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 44c | 110.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked Over | 49c | 106.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 103.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 57c | 89.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 22c | 75.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 36c | 72.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 69.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 56.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 44c | 56.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 27c | 53.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 79c | 52.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 47.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 43.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 58c | 43.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Over | 48c | 39.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Over | 67c | 36.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 32c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 36c | 32.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 25.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 56c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…434bbacked Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 70c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…5966backed Over | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.