WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae78670e59288a27c062450017257ffff3a1fbbd235e4e355991413bf167219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 14,025$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,152.75 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 9,551$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.4 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 6,339$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.11 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,559$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.39 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,350$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.55 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 2,264$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.44 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,615$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.8 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,605$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.47 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,296$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.96 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 72c | 564.25$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics | 29c | 269.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 256$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 212.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Washington Mystics | 30c | 145.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 72c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 59.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Minnesota Lynx | 73c | 45.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 42.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Washington Mystics | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 39.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Washington Mystics | 40c | 39.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 33.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Mystics | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 20.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.