WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469aab2b1a80cbb07b0ee63dccf386573a1f2bcba97ca0eaaa5e94c29a999faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 2,449$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,855$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.43 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,754$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,691$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.33 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,635$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 950.51$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 939.25$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.41 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…4d60backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 566.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 417.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 347.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 255$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 218.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 193.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 193.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 187.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 142.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 116.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 103.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 103.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Minnesota Lynx | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Washington Mystics | 23c | 86.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 58.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 57.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Washington Mystics | 28c | 44.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 42.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Washington Mystics | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Minnesota Lynx | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 29.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 26.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 18.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.