WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d8e2e59942cf3e0725ea7fba6ea652c473118c7aae9288a4caaaccb7b304d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 15,856$7,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,457.09 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 7,893$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 2,798$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.67 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 14c | 2,057$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.04 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 679.1$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 80c | 178.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 157.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 129.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 121.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 44c | 116.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Under | 48c | 85.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 79.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 75.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 53c | 72.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 47c | 69.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 43c | 63.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 34c | 57.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 49.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 40.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Over | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…c06dbacked Over | 53c | 31.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…2e2dbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 59c | 22.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Over | 57c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.