TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e70…2e2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 35.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.