TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x168a…0d24backed Yes41c367,896$150,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,629.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No59c88,369$52,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,231.282045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No59c49,600$29,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,336475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No59c49,600$29,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,336450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No59c44,253$26,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,143.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed No59c29,768$17,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,205.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed No59c18,000$10,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,380250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c15,015$9,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,673.621,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No59c14,845$8,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,086.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c10,932$6,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.5752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes40c8,698$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.461650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c8,286$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.5222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b9…1664backed Yes45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No59c5,720$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No59c4,920$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c4,201$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.3526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c4,196$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.651,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6006347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No55c3,809$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No59c3,529$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c3,469$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.0687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No58c3,384$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.4730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c3,327$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.7529637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c3,136$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.43948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c3,010$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.9423342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2304100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2301050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes42c2,841$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No60c2,762$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.84551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Yes30c2,019$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c1,906$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.7127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No60c1,776$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.639046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c1,669$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.556443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c1,525$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.6612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes42c1,246$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.412317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4925151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No58c1,052$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.193946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes40c961.23$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c890$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.99553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c829.26$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes25c820.63$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2513250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c783.01$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No69c715.39$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.631070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c675.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.774951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No59c512$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e4c…5695backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+76.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c458.86$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.392133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No59c432.38$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1644548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No58c347.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No60c338.94$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c321.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9110640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No60c312$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.84252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c284.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c282.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5918351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x577e…d876backed Yes41c250$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf647…cd74backed Yes43c233.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked Yes44c227.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No65c227.05$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.492556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes29c203.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No59c203.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No58c193.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No60c191.37$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No62c179.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.755860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Yes40c165.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No59c159.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9530…fb26backed Yes13c153.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c152.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No60c149.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No57c146.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.894934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ea…3d00backed Yes43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc70a…001cbacked No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c120.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes34c112.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.633548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No57c110.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes42c108.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.194151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No79c100.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No79c100.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.031471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes38c99.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf218…7bbabacked Yes42c95.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.