Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1389761b0bab1792f57d2c66cbb1d5bd9e355fbee6548ffa54ded74b6c3b7b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 60c | 100,000$59,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,564.72 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 26,113$10,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,505.39 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 60c | 21,379$12,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,891.78 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 14,674$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.72 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 39c | 14,371$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,766.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 38c | 13,663$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,470.94 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 42c | 10,937$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…12a0backed No | 41c | 10,530$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked No | 43c | 9,891$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 8,644$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.12 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 42c | 7,814$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.54 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 7,035$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.1 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 7,000$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 39c | 5,727$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 40c | 4,091$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.51 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 42c | 3,905$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 3,675$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 2,733$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.24 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 2,687$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 40c | 2,566$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.64 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed No | 44c | 2,507$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 40c | 2,498$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.96 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 1,847$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.57 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 1,813$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.76 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 39c | 1,787$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.56 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 61c | 1,573$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.53 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 61c | 1,537$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 1,476$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.91 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 41c | 1,445$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 42c | 1,324$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 60c | 1,284$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 39c | 1,250$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.49 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 1,115$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.78 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 41c | 874$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.66 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 813$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 64c | 805.98$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 39c | 732.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 16c | 720$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 53c | 699.97$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 41c | 599.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 555.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.03 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 41c | 552.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.03 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 42c | 546.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.18 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 46c | 497$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Yes | 61c | 480.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 39c | 449$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 431.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 424.72$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 32c | 417.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 59c | 417.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked No | 40c | 359.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 47c | 336.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 20c | 336.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked No | 39c | 323.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 67c | 252$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 245.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 44c | 243.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 217.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Yes | 62c | 216.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Yes | 61c | 216.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 195.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…2b25backed No | 39c | 193.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 60c | 191.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 58c | 191.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 189.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 164.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Yes | 8c | 159.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 50c | 156.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 25c | 154$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 40c | 135.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 41c | 125.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 124.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 122.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Yes | 61c | 122.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed No | 36c | 122$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Yes | 61c | 119.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed No | 40c | 103.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 101.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.