Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a7a40327cfa3629f2911a41aba20890ffa25f1f5be01a77bd55cd880cb0ecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 80c | 4,451$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 22c | 3,018$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.18 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,612$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 7c | 1,576$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 2c | 1,269$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,238$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 1,111$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 1,018$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 795.99$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 20c | 789.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 608.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 606$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 78c | 507.75$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 8c | 497.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 369.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 361.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 22c | 292$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 24c | 282$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 9c | 257.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 218$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 12c | 161.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 21c | 150.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 8c | 148.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 148.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 21c | 144.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 79c | 140.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 21c | 139.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 21c | 139.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 19c | 119.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 105.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 22c | 86.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 82.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 18c | 78.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 78c | 50.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 47.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 79c | 22.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 79c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.