TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Liquid, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,045,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,109,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c5…6d61backed Liquid25c122,211$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0006934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Liquid12c91,366$10,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,963.9125355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Liquid25c85,376$21,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,34416443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit77c64,875$49,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,921.2122354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Spirit75c64,553$48,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,138.2517052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit75c55,000$41,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,75041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked Liquid24c54,060$13,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,142.083839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Liquid15c52,974$8,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,133.8142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked Liquid23c51,865$11,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,928.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f8…e7e3backed Liquid24c47,090$11,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,357.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e4…570cbacked Liquid24c45,631$11,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,032.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Spirit76c40,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9317951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Liquid24c31,250$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50014145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…7e93backed Liquid16c25,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Liquid24c20,833$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spirit75c16,814$12,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.3823145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d78…4cc1backed Spirit75c16,569$12,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…398abacked Liquid21c15,038$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.871553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Liquid23c14,693$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.328951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit77c14,663$11,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.325,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit76c14,600$11,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50435153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Spirit76c13,366$10,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.2113244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit77c12,987$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.0133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit77c11,752$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.4125751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit75c10,949$8,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.812,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Spirit77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30010749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Spirit76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Spirit76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9919055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Spirit76c8,000$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff9…aaa7backed Spirit77c7,421$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.741181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Liquid24c6,216$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.644551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Liquid24c6,042$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1719229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e20…dd8abacked Spirit75c5,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked Liquid12c5,385$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Liquid24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20021424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Spirit75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Liquid21c4,871$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.041,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid9c4,611$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Spirit77c4,600$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Liquid19c4,574$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.9327740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Spirit77c4,550$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.4925845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Spirit76c4,412$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.9422849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Liquid19c4,296$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.2342154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Liquid24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid18c4,146$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.881,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed Liquid24c4,140$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.6912627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Spirit75c4,041$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.38644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Spirit76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9921060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Liquid23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.983528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid23c3,965$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.0635940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Liquid12c3,800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid16c3,717$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.062,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…78a0backed Spirit77c3,552$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.962356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid19c3,379$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.931,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid23c3,300$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7591,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Spirit76c3,258$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.923357.6%19 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934a…a684backed Liquid25c3,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Liquid24c3,183$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.2649536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Liquid11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33029127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Spirit76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Liquid18c2,930$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.5487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid20c2,904$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.791,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liquid23c2,753$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.732,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit75c2,610$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.52,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed97…8932backed Spirit77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Liquid24c2,597$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Liquid24c2,540$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Liquid13c2,515$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4412055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Liquid16c2,255$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0922241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit76c2,200$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Liquid25c2,094$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.4355039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Liquid15c2,040$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.888330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed Spirit76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-86.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Spirit76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Spirit76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Liquid11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit76c1,978$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.5729449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked Liquid15c1,973$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Liquid24c1,875$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505032%16 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Spirit75c1,832$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.0248851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dc…338abacked Spirit76c1,664$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.382157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Liquid23c1,625$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit76c1,533$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.011,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Liquid24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Spirit76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Spirit76c1,400$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34055941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Liquid24c1,354$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32552636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked Liquid28c1,353$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.727751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…4845backed Spirit77c1,283$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Liquid24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Liquid21c1,250$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Liquid22c1,201$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.241,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.