TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Liquid, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Liquid14c40,857$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850.286160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Liquid26c16,887$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.9416946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Spirit69c16,760$11,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…2cf8backed Liquid40c11,772$4,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,748.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit72c10,084$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.3838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Liquid28c9,533$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.1117643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Liquid28c8,796$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.793745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Spirit72c7,036$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.3210749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid32c6,196$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.367,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Liquid30c6,111$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.082040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…06d6backed Spirit68c5,760$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Spirit69c4,562$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.6710644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid9c4,358$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liquid16c4,006$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.132,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit68c3,607$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.241040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid31c3,414$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.482,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…05e5backed Spirit72c3,380$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Liquid31c3,348$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.6861948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Spirit67c3,300$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.5211149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Liquid1c3,215$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.932832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Liquid33c3,020$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Liquid31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Spirit68c2,880$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.64850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.91,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Liquid29c2,806$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.795836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit75c2,754$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7173658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Liquid29c2,703$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.0937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit80c2,661$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit70c2,610$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.135,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Liquid24c2,416$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Liquid29c2,400$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6933839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Liquid29c2,276$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.391,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Liquid31c2,222$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6847943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Liquid2c2,200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Liquid30c2,014$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2813646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit63c2,000$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.058758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Liquid28c1,955$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.286031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Liquid13c1,893$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.172139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc38…3c4cbacked Spirit69c1,800$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5583857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed Spirit77c1,678$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6510449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Liquid17c1,643$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.11,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Liquid28c1,640$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a4…32a8backed Liquid31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Liquid29c1,487$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7135839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Liquid34c1,474$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1449536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit72c1,404$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Liquid18c1,376$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Liquid12c1,288$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7621143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Liquid28c1,214$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid30c1,214$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.975,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Liquid34c1,188$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.474647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Liquid29c1,174$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1612244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Liquid31c1,121$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3555039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Liquid28c1,111$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.195234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Liquid31c1,055$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Liquid28c1,052$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Liquid36c1,043$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38024233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Liquid32c1,009$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.868644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Liquid33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Liquid5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Spirit67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Liquid30c967.88$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.194742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Liquid7c900$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Liquid31c888.2$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5714546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Spirit72c886.11$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.112065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Liquid32c881.12$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7728843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Liquid30c866.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Liquid2c857.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Liquid20c836.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.613,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Liquid36c823.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid31c749.62$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.122,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spirit68c746.25$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.859755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Spirit73c742.9$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.935745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed Liquid31c709.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Liquid28c709.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005032%16 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spirit64c705.87$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5723653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Liquid30c704.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.512433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Liquid14c702.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Liquid24c677.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.587638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd943…8676backed Liquid14c670.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.962556%14 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+58.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Liquid20c662$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.887944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Liquid30c651.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Liquid31c623.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.412343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Spirit66c619.96$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8487backed Spirit71c615.19$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Liquid29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Liquid22c588.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0540253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6810…1c7dbacked Spirit80c575.68$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.682969%20 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid33c568.11$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Liquid30c548.39$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.656937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit67c502.83$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.61,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4919…0c56backed Liquid30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Liquid38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Liquid31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked Spirit69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Liquid33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf3…b7b5backed Spirit71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Liquid36c485$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.640950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa839…8b66backed Liquid23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.