CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669f4a2b662656d3224235f06fbd947d4454624d1d1fdcfd57583b6088e5bd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Liquid | 50c | 9,604$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Liquid | 49c | 8,120$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 51c | 6,806$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.49 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Liquid | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 50c | 5,070$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Spirit | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spirit | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Liquid | 53c | 4,499$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit | 46c | 3,812$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.23 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Liquid | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Liquid | 49c | 3,383$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 51c | 3,146$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.16 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Liquid | 49c | 3,008$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.84 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Spirit | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Liquid | 50c | 2,744$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Spirit | 51c | 2,501$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Liquid | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Liquid | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Liquid | 49c | 2,433$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.37 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 37c | 2,134$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Liquid | 50c | 2,114$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Liquid | 53c | 1,996$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Spirit | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.61 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid | 50c | 1,411$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Spirit | 65c | 1,325$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Liquid | 46c | 1,319$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.14 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Liquid | 50c | 1,207$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Spirit | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.2 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Spirit | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Liquid | 51c | 1,150$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.35 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Liquid | 49c | 1,107$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.11 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Spirit | 47c | 1,064$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 50c | 1,061$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked Liquid | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Spirit | 52c | 952.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spirit | 46c | 927.68$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.24 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Liquid | 49c | 910.03$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 48c | 887.98$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.23 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Spirit | 49c | 797.67$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Spirit | 51c | 722.74$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.46 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Spirit | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid | 46c | 700$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spirit | 50c | 600$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed Spirit | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Liquid | 49c | 598.11$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 49c | 597.83$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed Liquid | 49c | 540$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Spirit | 51c | 539.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spirit | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed Liquid | 49c | 514.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 49c | 501.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Liquid | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Liquid | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Liquid | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Liquid | 36c | 389.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…28e1backed Spirit | 51c | 383.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Liquid | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Liquid | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Spirit | 60c | 334.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid | 53c | 315.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Liquid | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Liquid | 49c | 301$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Spirit | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Liquid | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liquid | 47c | 256.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Spirit | 47c | 255.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Spirit | 65c | 250.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Spirit | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 45c | 244.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Spirit | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Liquid | 42c | 236.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Liquid | 51c | 229.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…3f0abacked Liquid | 49c | 224.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Spirit | 52c | 208.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Spirit | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Spirit | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Liquid | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Liquid | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Liquid | 54c | 184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Spirit | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Liquid | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Liquid | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Liquid | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Spirit | 52c | 128.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Spirit | 49c | 124.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Liquid | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Liquid | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Spirit | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Liquid | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Liquid | 49c | 114.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.