CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3812d189e48e41c37f9bc29b4304240035107271474aafaa9f6825c1f4ff4be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 2,109$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.68 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 60c | 2,039$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.83 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 60c | 1,243$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.52 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 32c | 1,104$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Under | 62c | 1,009$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 63c | 987.04$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.21 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 41c | 807.42$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Over | 39c | 742.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 60c | 720.56$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 61c | 720.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 41c | 720.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 702.12$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 644.55$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 61c | 632.8$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 40c | 551$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 40c | 468.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 40c | 431.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 39c | 368.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 41c | 291$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 41c | 257.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 208.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed Over | 37c | 168.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 37c | 164.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 39c | 160.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 40c | 141.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 59c | 127.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 40c | 121$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Over | 41c | 116.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 41c | 99.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 44c | 83.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 59c | 73.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 57c | 63.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 59c | 63.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…5047backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 39c | 49.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…69f6backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 39c | 40.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 33.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 62c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…4b8abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…6623backed Under | 61c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 61c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 61c | 23.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…6b2abacked Under | 64c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.