TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Liquid, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Spirit63c52,750$33,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,517.5225355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Liquid37c33,333$12,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,333.233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liquid5c29,571$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.41,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Liquid37c27,027$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Liquid36c18,760$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,830.136160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Spirit64c15,908$10,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,726.8559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Liquid7c14,421$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.0122241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…2cf8backed Liquid36c13,655$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Liquid7c13,480$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.5422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Liquid32c12,647$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.1741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Liquid8c11,115$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.221655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spirit67c8,701$5,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.8217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Spirit64c7,750$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.775052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Liquid34c7,723$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.8616946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Liquid5c7,405$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9557322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Liquid33c7,349$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.413745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spirit68c6,457$4,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit62c6,325$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.8523243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Spirit63c6,228$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.345160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Spirit64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16010749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Spirit63c5,217$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.297459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75046149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Liquid36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Liquid36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9837157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Liquid32c4,957$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5996450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid5c4,128$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.411,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Spirit75c4,072$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6117052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Liquid26c3,944$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.492142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit65c3,861$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.3329046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Liquid13c3,396$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.152,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit65c3,200$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit63c3,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1841,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit66c2,949$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.5232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit68c2,796$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.762,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…3c4cbacked Liquid35c2,741$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.623857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Spirit63c2,720$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.398752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Liquid29c2,650$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.493839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Liquid7c2,566$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Liquid5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid33c2,500$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Liquid37c2,487$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.065836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit66c2,251$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.52,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid5c2,239$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.961,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed Liquid30c2,150$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit68c2,073$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.471,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Liquid27c2,019$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2516633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Liquid7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Liquid37c1,995$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.1521854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Liquid35c1,943$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1319061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked Spirit62c1,831$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.783253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Liquid12c1,733$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.615337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit66c1,627$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.75,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Spirit64c1,522$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8412055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Liquid35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Spirit63c1,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9930748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Spirit64c1,485$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7410644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Liquid9c1,477$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.945234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid16c1,357$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.712,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Liquid38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Spirit65c1,250$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4911650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Spirit64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43210445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Spirit63c1,175$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.654543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Liquid24c1,119$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7413646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Liquid13c1,110$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.356041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Liquid23c1,071$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Liquid32c1,071$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.725143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit67c1,057$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.1887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Liquid7c1,042$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Liquid31c1,041$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32024233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Liquid25c1,037$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26413738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Liquid29c1,033$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Liquid37c1,028$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2317554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Liquid35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Liquid5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8487backed Spirit64c944.36$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Spirit64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Spirit68c807.39$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.369047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc76…8578backed Spirit64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Liquid32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Spirit64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27032042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Spirit75c745$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3258745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Liquid38c736.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805032%16 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Spirit63c709.52$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5235745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Liquid12c700$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.962,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Spirit74c667.8$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.481,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…bf30backed Liquid31c653.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Liquid32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Spirit66c620$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.817737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spirit71c600.04$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Liquid35c577.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Liquid22c561.47$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4913043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Liquid5c555$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7540253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Liquid37c551.7$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1339847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit76c540.79$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.325,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Liquid37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit77c529.17$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6730259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed Spirit66c510.68$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.633554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Spirit70c503.23$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15115948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.