TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Over42c70,000$29,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,198.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under60c15,352$9,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,194.182842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over41c14,634$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c9,266$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Over43c8,655$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.65850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over41c7,300$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9931741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c6,815$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.6732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c6,811$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under59c6,524$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.842250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under59c5,793$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.43650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under58c5,041$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over41c5,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0601625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c3,893$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c3,239$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c3,202$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.1741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c3,010$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.3834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under58c2,923$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.5743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under58c2,099$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8807045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c2,000$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.6739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over6c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c1,979$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.7932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under58c1,951$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.342770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under58c1,915$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.665158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over37c1,877$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.717051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over35c1,799$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over7c1,679$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under61c1,520$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5931241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c1,408$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.2918923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over38c1,304$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under58c1,121$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.691560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c1,024$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.842560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over43c975.81$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.975843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c925.5$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.069561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over37c854.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.019056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under79c630.95$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under74c499.86$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under60c483.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.331560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Under64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under65c413.87$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c412.76$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…50b8backed Under57c388.45$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Over35c267.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c257.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.976544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under58c220$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under58c214.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under58c185.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.036936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over19c158.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.633545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd29…d827backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over34c131.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c121.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.048958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over41c120.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Under65c114.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.241291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick63cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over26c90.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c87.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c74.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over41c72.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under61c70.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under62c67.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.865339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over37c63.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under60c63.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under79c63.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c58.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7122545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb260…1586backed Under58c58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.137552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…4b88backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under66c46.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.024553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2a…a65abacked Under60c46.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c43.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.984940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c39.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9119042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.