Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e4451b224a57df0527bfe6a3bb1e931b9d87879c908de4dfbe28f741f7db5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 66c | 5,197$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 4,703$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed No | 50c | 3,315$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 3,081$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.41 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 58c | 2,091$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.36 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 51c | 1,812$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.85 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 50c | 1,532$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 1,319$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.37 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked No | 76c | 1,108$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 997.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 50c | 918.2$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 847.79$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 716.03$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 51c | 701$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 695.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 575.34$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked No | 59c | 484.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 462.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 450.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.64 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 392.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed No | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 229.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 51c | 164.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…37a3backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 57c | 131.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed No | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 50c | 117.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 68c | 81.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 73.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 69.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Yes | 38c | 64.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 41c | 55.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…5ae1backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 49c | 39.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 31c | 36.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 34.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed No | 51c | 31.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…99abbacked No | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 0.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.