Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aac897bff080fd70cd2b7e3101c1ad87765bae6044c2b8d1f901cb1b070dda3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 64c | 1,581$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,387$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 1,186$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.84 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 46c | 1,111$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 36c | 951.6$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.02 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 55c | 914.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 36c | 852.9$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 737.88$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 55c | 618.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 564.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 527.58$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Over | 2c | 510.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…b845backed Over | 63c | 474.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 66c | 358.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 284$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 37c | 238.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 24c | 228.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 58c | 222.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked Over | 69c | 176.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 60c | 122.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 95.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 49c | 46.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 37c | 32.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 57c | 31.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Under | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…bacfbacked Over | 63c | 30.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Under | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 62c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 0.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.