TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c18,134$9,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,864.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c13,486$8,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.8830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over50c11,359$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c6,314$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.0434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c3,167$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.5837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over65c3,100$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,774$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.171,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over38c1,650$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c1,634$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under34c1,629$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Under31c1,584$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over15c1,447$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Under79c1,406$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over69c1,339$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.163571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over30c1,270$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over59c1,157$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over11c1,122$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over35c1,100$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over64c1,076$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.97051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over68c999.95$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under50c940$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under31c932.26$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c888$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.668548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over60c796.72$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over43c670.49$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under46c569.88$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c568.5$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.849561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c534.02$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over55c531.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c529.5$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.889056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under41c492.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over28c482.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under37c474.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c462$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c449.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over26c427.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.313545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c422.57$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.657763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c420$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over22c406.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.763655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under32c394.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.545158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c391.93$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under50c390.62$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Under75c384.79$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over31c383.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over33c318.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.216155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under36c311.27$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.211258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0035…f536backed Over33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under30c300.78$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under53c293$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.735339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over25c279.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c273.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over68c264.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over35c244.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c223.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.898958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over45c200.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under67c198.28$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over37c196.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under52c193.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.92470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over58c193.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c189.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.214940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c151.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under65c148.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over52c148.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.799045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over64c143.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.133740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over68c142$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over68c140.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c137.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2712350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over49c129.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.318125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c119.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0219042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over22c118.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under50c115.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c105.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.12025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c104.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.425843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under51c101.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.472634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over39c101.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.283557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+122.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef0…6a53backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Over63c98.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over57c87.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over45c78.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.