Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e85a440e5c1c2b7b59b8b2f6fed028c6e324d805ad04ad9c9deb30b4630e945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Elena Rybakina, Tatjana Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $803,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $829,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $803,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tatjana Maria | 30c | 76,090$22,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,992.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 70,286$11,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,245.81 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tatjana Maria | 20c | 58,161$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tatjana Maria | 21c | 32,107$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.28 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Elena Rybakina | 64c | 20,814$13,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.87 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Elena Rybakina | 53c | 20,549$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,666.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Tatjana Maria | 22c | 19,696$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.24 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Tatjana Maria | 7c | 17,692$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.37 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tatjana Maria | 26c | 15,128$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Tatjana Maria | 29c | 13,701$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.59 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Tatjana Maria | 19c | 12,843$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elena Rybakina | 74c | 12,020$8,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Tatjana Maria | 43c | 11,557$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.36 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 10,625$8,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.86 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Elena Rybakina | 62c | 8,487$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.93 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Elena Rybakina | 58c | 7,912$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.63 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tatjana Maria | 20c | 7,873$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.85 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Elena Rybakina | 61c | 7,117$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elena Rybakina | 78c | 6,799$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Tatjana Maria | 12c | 6,548$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.4 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 5,872$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.75 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Elena Rybakina | 75c | 5,600$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Elena Rybakina | 62c | 5,240$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.66 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elena Rybakina | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Elena Rybakina | 56c | 4,700$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.97 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…ee9abacked Tatjana Maria | 20c | 4,429$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tatjana Maria | 17c | 4,421$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.7 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Tatjana Maria | 18c | 4,375$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.71 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tatjana Maria | 39c | 3,192$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Elena Rybakina | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Elena Rybakina | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.78 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Tatjana Maria | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tatjana Maria | 29c | 2,519$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Elena Rybakina | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tatjana Maria | 18c | 2,437$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.59 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 2,215$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.54 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 2,156$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.19 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed Tatjana Maria | 20c | 2,131$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Rybakina | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Tatjana Maria | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elena Rybakina | 61c | 1,992$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elena Rybakina | 75c | 1,963$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.15 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Tatjana Maria | 39c | 1,904$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tatjana Maria | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Tatjana Maria | 19c | 1,856$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Elena Rybakina | 23c | 1,799$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Tatjana Maria | 19c | 1,645$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Tatjana Maria | 12c | 1,618$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Tatjana Maria | 50c | 1,600$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.99 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Tatjana Maria | 20c | 1,523$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Elena Rybakina | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tatjana Maria | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tatjana Maria | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tatjana Maria | 17c | 1,439$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Elena Rybakina | 70c | 1,433$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Elena Rybakina | 49c | 1,432$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.69 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tatjana Maria | 7c | 1,391$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tatjana Maria | 18c | 1,373$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Tatjana Maria | 45c | 1,356$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.99 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Elena Rybakina | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elena Rybakina | 76c | 1,223$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Tatjana Maria | 58c | 1,190$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Elena Rybakina | 36c | 1,190$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.8 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Elena Rybakina | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Tatjana Maria | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5910…b0d6backed Tatjana Maria | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Tatjana Maria | 4c | 1,106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Tatjana Maria | 48c | 1,098$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tatjana Maria | 28c | 1,097$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.87 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tatjana Maria | 43c | 1,095$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Tatjana Maria | 29c | 1,040$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Tatjana Maria | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tatjana Maria | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Tatjana Maria | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Elena Rybakina | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tatjana Maria | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tatjana Maria | 47c | 993.14$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tatjana Maria | 16c | 985.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Elena Rybakina | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Elena Rybakina | 78c | 965.15$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tatjana Maria | 42c | 962.48$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.75 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Elena Rybakina | 54c | 949.68$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.88 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Tatjana Maria | 15c | 940.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Elena Rybakina | 43c | 928.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.09 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Tatjana Maria | 39c | 926.37$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.95 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Tatjana Maria | 15c | 893.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Tatjana Maria | 43c | 893.03$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 886.16$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Tatjana Maria | 18c | 858.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Tatjana Maria | 29c | 850.25$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Tatjana Maria | 17c | 848.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Elena Rybakina | 75c | 839.2$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Elena Rybakina | 72c | 839.11$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Elena Rybakina | 25c | 806.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.79 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 791.53$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.53 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Elena Rybakina | 80c | 790$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariathis page
- Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rybakina vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs MariaMaria won
- Set 2 Winner: Rybakina vs MariaRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)Maria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.