TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5910…b0d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$92.79
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$604.29
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,480
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$1,162.91
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$179.22
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$352.38
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Storm Hunterbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$94.94
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+207%+$364.89
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$96.82
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$711.12
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$903.95
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$471.31
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.