TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed OG48c43,896$21,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,696.49733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed OG53c25,572$13,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,040.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Grind Back47c21,300$10,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,01115951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back36c13,518$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,843.5236248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG71c9,929$7,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.4517948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked OG71c9,257$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.5959154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back36c8,496$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.628341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed OG72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.441,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Grind Back47c6,572$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.4215544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Grind Back13c6,190$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.4525150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back33c6,167$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0243627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed Grind Back54c5,400$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9161030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Grind Back45c4,548$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.8516539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Grind Back44c4,445$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.72516%4 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Grind Back40c4,149$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.2758742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back51c3,759$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.591,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Grind Back54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Grind Back54c3,549$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.4426351%134 W · 129 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grind Back54c3,385$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.8145139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed OG73c3,370$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.8853758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back36c3,083$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5658346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back22c3,081$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.361,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed OG53c3,050$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Grind Back33c2,994$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.5116963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed OG57c2,974$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.3292846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Grind Back37c2,933$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.1419249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back38c2,707$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.6956545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed OG67c2,621$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86514258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back42c2,208$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.072,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Grind Back47c2,161$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.772748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Grind Back14c2,140$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.643538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Grind Back54c2,129$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.877361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Grind Back48c2,011$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95619547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Grind Back16c2,002$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4253444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed OG50c2,000$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56069235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back42c1,996$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9830146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back34c1,974$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.2765447.4%310 W · 344 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grind Back31c1,951$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grind Back52c1,943$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.72,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked OG68c1,932$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.8333867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG68c1,620$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back26c1,565$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.451,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed OG68c1,510$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.34887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Grind Back22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.879242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed OG65c1,399$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9643560.5%263 W · 172 L+43.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked OG52c1,360$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed OG78c1,300$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.56764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed OG39c1,297$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Grind Back38c1,151$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7287838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Grind Back9c1,133$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Grind Back29c1,114$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Grind Back43c1,067$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.163528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed OG63c1,023$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4923529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back34c1,020$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Grind Back21c1,020$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.790756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back36c1,000$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.881,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Grind Back29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Grind Back48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked OG60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Grind Back34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked OG55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grind Back51c991.6$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed OG49c950.96$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0641055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Grind Back35c938.8$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1288938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back34c913.92$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.411,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked OG50c907.29$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.652171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed OG67c899.99$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29520233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked OG66c884.57$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7514157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked Grind Back35c832.09$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.882450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Grind Back54c755.41$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9228544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Grind Back30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22545940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Grind Back54c725.96$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4826843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed OG68c712.99$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4811353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked OG61c680$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.615050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Grind Back54c670.31$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.972661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Grind Back54c668.1$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.772454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Grind Back33c618.1$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.919742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked OG75c608.7$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1952649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Grind Back50c602.77$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9519737.1%73 W · 124 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Grind Back27c600.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8861249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Grind Back30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Grind Back47c599.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.67265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked OG51c586.16$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.036762.7%42 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back53c582.77$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.941,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back13c580.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5332241.6%134 W · 188 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked OG69c577.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0310437.5%39 W · 65 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed OG75c566.24$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.637166.2%47 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked OG68c547.65$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.497964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Grind Back51c527.93$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.422543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Grind Back13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked OG55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed OG65c489.34$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.271850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Grind Back28c484.62$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.698538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Grind Back26c460.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8917952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Grind Back46c450.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.991,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed OG44c448.08$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0552046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Grind Back58c439.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2921851.8%113 W · 105 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked OG61c428.33$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.733636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed OG52c425.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.487152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.