Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff4f9b237716be1c626492be60ad1cda74ed4e706f0b3f8bef2b63b6559b509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 58c | 76,974$44,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,245.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Grind Back | 44c | 22,884$10,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,083.46 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Grind Back | 38c | 22,222$8,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,444.35 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Grind Back | 47c | 10,141$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.18 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back | 52c | 4,750$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.7 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 54c | 4,638$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.55 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Grind Back | 47c | 4,280$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.36 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back | 48c | 4,056$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.81 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Grind Back | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 53c | 3,625$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.73 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 50c | 2,886$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Grind Back | 36c | 2,766$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Grind Back | 8c | 2,750$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Grind Back | 37c | 2,671$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grind Back | 40c | 2,405$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.12 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 62c | 2,179$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Grind Back | 39c | 2,159$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.29 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back | 46c | 2,022$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.99 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Grind Back | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Grind Back | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed OG | 60c | 1,670$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 53c | 1,620$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.5 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grind Back | 47c | 1,598$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Grind Back | 40c | 1,463$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.33 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Grind Back | 28c | 1,441$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grind Back | 37c | 1,347$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.57 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grind Back | 33c | 1,346$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 63c | 1,327$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.17 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 56c | 1,309$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.94 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Grind Back | 35c | 1,269$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Grind Back | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Grind Back | 45c | 1,216$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Grind Back | 5c | 1,118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Grind Back | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Grind Back | 43c | 1,078$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.54 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Grind Back | 46c | 1,062$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.65 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 56c | 1,012$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OG | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.42 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked OG | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked OG | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Grind Back | 50c | 957$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.12 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Grind Back | 37c | 910$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Grind Back | 35c | 900$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed OG | 72c | 874.28$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.77 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Grind Back | 36c | 849.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Grind Back | 37c | 838.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked OG | 61c | 813.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grind Back | 36c | 799.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 52c | 775.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.09 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Grind Back | 13c | 750$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Grind Back | 48c | 726.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Grind Back | 4c | 699.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked OG | 71c | 678.22$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Grind Back | 52c | 677.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.83 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 41c | 661.88$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Grind Back | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Grind Back | 46c | 610.87$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Grind Back | 36c | 606.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked OG | 55c | 600.01$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked OG | 54c | 600.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 74c | 585.67$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Grind Back | 10c | 578.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Grind Back | 52c | 576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Grind Back | 49c | 557$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Grind Back | 45c | 555.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 35c | 550.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Grind Back | 45c | 545.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Grind Back | 45c | 541.27$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Grind Back | 41c | 529.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed OG | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Grind Back | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed OG | 51c | 500$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.42 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Grind Back | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OG | 52c | 443.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 38c | 423.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grind Back | 41c | 423.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Grind Back | 20c | 421.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed OG | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 34c | 397.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Grind Back | 26c | 388.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Grind Back | 37c | 383.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked OG | 79c | 381.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed OG | 52c | 379.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Grind Back | 47c | 378.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Grind Back | 36c | 373.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed OG | 57c | 351.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked OG | 62c | 348.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Grind Back | 52c | 338.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Grind Back | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…e0a3backed OG | 56c | 317.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Grind Back | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 53c | 305.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed OG | 71c | 302.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Grind Back | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Grind Back | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Grind Back | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed Grind Back | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 58c | 300$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 56c | 299.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)OG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-2.5) vs Grind Back (+2.5)Grind Back won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.