TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x240b…c32a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.73
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs K28 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked K28 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.37
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.76
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$82.71
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$114.17
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$111.89
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$66
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$449.3
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$100.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$85.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.95
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.86
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$157.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$237.84
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$217.18
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$135.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$22.5
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston 2: Keshav Chopra vs Kaylan Bigunbacked Keshav Chopra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roehampton 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Roehampton 2: Oliver Bonding vs Viktor Durasovicbacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.08
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Roehampton 2: Patrick Brady vs Andreja Petrovicbacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.24
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$7.62
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$11.9
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.9
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$360.74
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$77.52
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.1
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.64
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Governor" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Trump trade deal in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$24.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.