CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ef7c5dc55dd13c111930a1a966dda70392dea8385d8f086a2e6392a59ade8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof M80, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $941,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked M80 | 51c | 228,092$115,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,410.93 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed NIP | 49c | 127,269$61,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,379.88 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked M80 | 41c | 105,013$42,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,866.93 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed NIP | 55c | 83,152$46,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,113.02 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NIP | 49c | 25,784$12,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,118.48 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked M80 | 17c | 21,486$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.31 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked NIP | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed NIP | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked M80 | 32c | 19,346$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.98 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 53c | 18,941$10,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,813.13 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 52c | 18,928$9,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.66 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed NIP | 52c | 17,034$8,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.23 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed NIP | 52c | 15,795$8,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.59 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed NIP | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed M80 | 47c | 10,355$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.08 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed M80 | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0a2dbacked M80 | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 52c | 9,778$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked M80 | 45c | 9,174$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.38 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed M80 | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 48c | 7,933$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.13 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 54c | 7,569$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.06 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP | 55c | 7,047$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.17 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked M80 | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.97 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed NIP | 50c | 7,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.96 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NIP | 51c | 6,781$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed NIP | 49c | 6,566$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.43 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 11c | 6,547$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NIP | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NIP | 75c | 5,677$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.25 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked M80 | 51c | 5,591$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked NIP | 51c | 5,168$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.32 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed NIP | 51c | 5,024$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked NIP | 41c | 4,946$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 38c | 4,796$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.56 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…0325backed M80 | 58c | 4,615$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked NIP | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked M80 | 48c | 4,469$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.98 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed NIP | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed M80 | 59c | 4,050$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed M80 | 48c | 4,045$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed NIP | 77c | 4,037$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.51 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed NIP | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed M80 | 14c | 3,915$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.16 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked NIP | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked NIP | 50c | 3,395$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 48c | 3,395$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.01 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NIP | 50c | 3,389$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.37 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 55c | 3,303$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed NIP | 76c | 3,068$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.32 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed M80 | 47c | 3,043$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.6 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked M80 | 32c | 3,039$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.97 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed M80 | 21c | 3,023$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed M80 | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed NIP | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP | 60c | 2,940$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.37 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed M80 | 40c | 2,937$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked M80 | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.82 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…1e27backed M80 | 52c | 2,778$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NIP | 43c | 2,776$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.68 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed M80 | 25c | 2,740$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed M80 | 41c | 2,664$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed M80 | 32c | 2,644$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed M80 | 50c | 2,634$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 48c | 2,625$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 42c | 2,619$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.21 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NIP | 52c | 2,593$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.06 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked M80 | 11c | 2,585$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked NIP | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed M80 | 34c | 2,556$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.02 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed M80 | 40c | 2,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed M80 | 48c | 2,443$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.02 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked M80 | 4c | 2,436$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 35c | 2,410$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed M80 | 44c | 2,403$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.99 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked NIP | 64c | 2,316$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.03 | 389 | 41.9%163 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked NIP | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed NIP | 50c | 2,246$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.95 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked M80 | 63c | 2,240$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed M80 | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed M80 | 48c | 2,222$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.45 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 23c | 2,178$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.01 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked M80 | 34c | 2,105$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.52 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked M80 | 26c | 2,055$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked M80 | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed NIP | 49c | 2,031$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed NIP | 78c | 2,027$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.93 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed NIP | 76c | 2,024$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed M80 | 36c | 2,008$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed NIP | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked M80 | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…1d53backed M80 | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 48c | 2,000$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.43 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed M80 | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 22c | 1,959$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 51c | 1,943$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.94 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed NIP | 54c | 1,934$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.64 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.