CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5980f98a1adbc57b68db11d7ae4377449701c73b0b98a2fddd0e814da9622c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 1,561$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.51 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 871.03$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 57c | 747.01$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.57 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Over | 48c | 635$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 52c | 500.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Under | 54c | 359.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 54c | 347.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 300.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 48c | 287.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 46c | 261.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Over | 48c | 231.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Under | 49c | 205.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed Over | 51c | 200.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 154.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 49c | 140.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Under | 51c | 134.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 50c | 131.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 52c | 116.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 106.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 43c | 96.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 48c | 94.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 49c | 88.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Over | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 44c | 80.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 77.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 76.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 48c | 48.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…cb84backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 35c | 42.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…35aabacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Under | 54c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 49c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…719dbacked Over | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…282cbacked Over | 48c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 46c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…723bbacked Under | 66c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.