TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fe6…1d65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
508
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT9845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$35.83
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.73
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.35
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.95
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.65
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.51
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.61
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.38
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$68.63
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$137.94
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT9530.5%29 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$74.24
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$70.83
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.14
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.59
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.07
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$114.21
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$106.94
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$102.94
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$71.74
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$42.34
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$46.48
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT8544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.43
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.83
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.07
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.1
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.52
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.09
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+111%+$21.78
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$27.82
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.01
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.83
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$116.05
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.54
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$26.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.64
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$11.57
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$28.3
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$10.15
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.75
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$20.02
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$12.85
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.74
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$14.47
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Aurora to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.41
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$9.72
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$17.14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$19.53
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$19.79
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micicbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Lucio Ratti vs Filip Jeff Planinsekbacked Lucio Ratti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.74
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Open: Katie Volynets vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuelbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.12
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$14.38
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$17.6
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$17.06
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$11.34
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$17.17
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.21
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$5.87
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.21
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$6.64
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+263%+$121.01
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$31.87
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.85
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.4
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$36.71
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.81
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$28.38
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.4
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.56
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+82%+$14.02
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$39.51
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$24.38
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.17
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.07
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$36.14
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.08
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.4
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.76
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$49.42
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.26
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+98%+$10.67
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.89
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.58
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$27.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.38
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+121%+$27.39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.32
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.23
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.33
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.91
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.67
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$26.33
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$18.04
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$12.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$27.04
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$20.93
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+64%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$8.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$7.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.