TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$884,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$883,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $884,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No60c750,278$450,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450,902.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes40c452,172$179,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,303.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c88,237$35,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,738.0762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes40c78,339$31,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,003.573423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes40c67,147$26,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,288.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c46,135$20,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,461.381,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No60c25,575$15,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,317.962642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No59c14,827$8,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,721.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes40c14,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4004045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes39c12,500$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,62513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No60c12,250$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c11,631$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,966.5587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c10,579$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,176.8722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes41c9,663$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,701.178254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c6,203$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.3852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c5,328$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.971,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No25c4,031$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.7724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No59c3,200$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8886347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77012738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c2,533$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.3323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No60c2,460$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4763627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No59c2,400$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4164548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c1,955$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7311916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No62c1,939$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes40c1,822$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.373135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c1,786$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.4535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8265151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yes40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.512944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7083737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6493336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes41c1,098$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.563148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No58c1,078$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.385547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes41c1,034$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9610145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No63c1,000$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c1,000$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.5326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes40c897.44$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.448150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c863.38$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No59c855.09$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No59c736$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.243948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes35c663.06$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.968644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes40c659.71$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.725651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c641$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c641$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes42c594.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No78c551.68$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.147149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes19c502.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.534833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No59c480$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No3c460.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes40c450.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0912238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes40c444$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8416448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Yes42c442$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes41c433.61$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9426354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No75c401.87$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2364951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23612957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c390$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes46c376.85$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.172259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No59c374.71$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.083250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Yes37c370$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes42c367.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8326046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c346.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No59c320$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.85251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes20c299.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.015129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes42c297.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.459960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c277.58$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.779553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes40c275$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes42c259.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.792263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes40c247.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c215.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes40c157.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes38c146.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes40c145.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes40c133.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdde…23a6backed Yes40c127.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed No44c126.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.873721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed No61c125.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.84650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes40c107$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.826759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No58c104.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c101.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c99.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7c…4ae4backed Yes74c98.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes56c96.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.013764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes56c92.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.515042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes37c87.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No78c85.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.