TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed Yes31c239,003$73,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,674.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No70c75,000$52,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,180.873557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No69c53,178$36,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,485.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed No69c30,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c21,562$14,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,684.2612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c19,165$13,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,936.5962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No69c11,942$8,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c7,882$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.091,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9970…ce06backed No69c6,546$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c5,848$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes30c5,488$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c5,124$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.8322745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes27c5,050$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.492642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c4,693$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.091,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c4,363$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.538254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c3,200$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9606347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c3,176$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No70c2,400$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed Yes30c1,906$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No69c1,740$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.011656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.992944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c1,600$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4883250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes29c1,552$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No70c1,472$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No69c1,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4345151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes28c1,330$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No51c1,306$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No69c1,284$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.743135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No68c1,243$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3723737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes31c1,080$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6410145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes29c972.8$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.115846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No69c945.05$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.515251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes30c893$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.92437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No69c869.86$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.466051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes29c862$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c862$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c858.06$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes30c706.32$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes27c607.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.263828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes32c600.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.12552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1866357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes29c591$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes60c537.48$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c525.7$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No70c480$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No70c480$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c478.89$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.318351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c449.98$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes30c449.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No69c442$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.025763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No70c406.47$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.946654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c405.93$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes32c390.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes52c346.88$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.543847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No69c320$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.25251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No70c320$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.64847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No65c320$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.245129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes33c296$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.681020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes33c291.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes30c284.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes33c280.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.73154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No69c280$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.85552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No69c272$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.328644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No70c240$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.25352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No70c240$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes29c218.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.358150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No43c203.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.861450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No73c198.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2784…e60abacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c172.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.366443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c170$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0346450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.64553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c153.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b2…2c4abacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No69c143.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.