WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0674b983387720973bb200cef0140728163054cb860cd4ecbe8d8b29b896da8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 51c | 8,848$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.83 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 7,149$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.8 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,877$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.16 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,318$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…331fbacked Under | 33c | 712.67$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 593.59$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 427.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 70c | 330.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 297.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 261.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 256.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 49c | 201.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 50c | 198.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 29c | 175.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 159.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 71c | 140.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 50c | 125.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 52c | 105.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 43c | 91.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 53c | 90.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed Over | 45c | 88.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 47.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Over | 49c | 38.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 60c | 37.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 43c | 34.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 58c | 30.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 57c | 24.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…a7b6backed Under | 56c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.