WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958099fb4bfe8769a3b178b95680b0f897aeacb768743beb0946ff29e600c335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 6,698$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 4,300$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 3,538$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,773$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.51 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,095$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 996.3$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 940.21$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 729.79$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…a25bbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 729.79$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 586.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 468.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 416.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 277$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 269.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Connecticut Sun | 43c | 233.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 229$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 199.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 135.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 120.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Connecticut Sun | 42c | 90.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 61.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 60.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…274cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 49.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 49.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 48.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.