WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2d721132fd5111d058e156e7740698b691f2260a5528ba55c319ef5ca25b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 12,954$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.34 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 3,562$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.47 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 2,920$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 2,739$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 1,792$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.72 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,668$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 1,016$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 681.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 674.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.69 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 639$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.89 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 569.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…a25bbacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 539.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 385$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 384.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…331fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 222.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 166.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 142.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 97.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 86.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 45.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…8786backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 33.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.