TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c528.32$238 inWon+$290.431,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under55c526$289 inLost-$289.32751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over46c380.93$175 inWon+$205.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost-$2002669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c315.08$164 inLost-$163.8422748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c234.39$110 inWon+$124.1399548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c232.37$93 inLost-$92.9520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over60c230$138 inWon+$929255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c213.83$111 inLost-$111.195354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c177.08$85 inWon+$92.082462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c174.97$93 inLost-$92.7427049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c100$49 inWon+$5117143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over47c100$47 inWon+$531050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c100$51 inLost-$511656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over57c79.31$45 inWon+$34.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over51c69.65$36 inWon+$34.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c52.79$25 inLost-$25.3412745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over48c52.08$25 inWon+$27.0810244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under47c39.54$19 inLost-$18.586640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Over50c34.45$17 inWon+$17.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c30.55$14 inWon+$16.0964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under46c30$14 inLost-$13.88051.3%41 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under53c26.4$14 inLost-$14.0185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under50c24.4$12 inLost-$12.244915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2797…aec6backed Over47c21.13$10 inWon+$11.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.