WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc65fa9270aecaabb2198b99f2f86184a75ef6ce62092dd77dfc45b67c3a06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Connecticut Sun, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Connecticut Sun | 0c | 64,280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Connecticut Sun | 8c | 20,003$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Connecticut Sun | 0c | 10,320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Connecticut Sun | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 9,456$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Connecticut Sun | 0c | 7,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 4,897$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 4,811$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 3,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 2,249$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 2,175$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 1,909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 1,728$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 1,052$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…85dfbacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 995.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 901.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 804.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 762.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 677.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7d47backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 610$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 608.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…3a41backed Connecticut Sun | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 599.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Connecticut Sun | 2c | 579.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 298.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 6c | 267.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…7e3dbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 242.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 222.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 205.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 204.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 204.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 184.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 173.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…3ddfbacked Connecticut Sun | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 167.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 131.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 121.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Connecticut Sun | 9c | 119.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…d79dbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 86.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyriesthis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.