Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccaf4f6b19c2990cf213d316542450e7307b20e229645d95a9b7993c90688596

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $560,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $502,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,246 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	23c	12,355$2,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,846.76	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	36c	10,135$3,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,621.8	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	35c	8,298$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929.92	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	36c	7,726$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,773.33	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	34c	7,388$2,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,525.45	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	21c	7,299$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.44	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	56c	7,112$3,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,989.46	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	31c	6,182$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	38c	5,910$2,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,241.35	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	27c	5,269$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.89	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	58c	5,223$3,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,176.07	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	73c	5,118$3,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.68	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	35c	4,930$1,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746.86	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	30c	4,091$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.66	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	4c	4,048$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	38c	3,984$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.14	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	6c	3,876$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.19	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	3,759$2,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.7	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	29c	3,526$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.47	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	75c	3,478$2,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	28c	3,378$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.85	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	28c	3,345$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.17	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	35c	3,323$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.39	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	33c	3,216$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.4	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	28c	3,147$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.76	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	25c	3,053$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.98	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	65c	3,027$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.27	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	51c	2,985$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.8	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	37c	2,962$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.96	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	56c	2,812$1,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.36	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	17c	2,800$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.37	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	38c	2,663$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.7	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	30c	2,601$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.16	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	34c	2,560$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.76	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	45c	2,542$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.31	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	37c	2,494$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.85	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc51…c5d4backed Yes	70c	2,478$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,724.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	36c	2,300$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.4	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	61c	2,291$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.12	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	30c	2,270$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.24	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	29c	2,227$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.16	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	40c	2,221$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.44	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,203$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.41	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	27c	2,143$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.75	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7450…01a0backed Yes	61c	2,099$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.68	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	39c	2,053$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.35	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	23c	2,030$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.33	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	65c	2,002$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.06	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	1,948$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.38	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	33c	1,919$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.9	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed Yes	30c	1,872$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.03	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	64c	1,868$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.78	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	22c	1,859$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	14c	1,832$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.83	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	34c	1,811$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.24	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	20c	1,769$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	30c	1,683$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.37	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	19c	1,668$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.96	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	26c	1,661$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.72	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf605…b676backed Yes	1c	1,650$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-5.8wins	-0.13per pick	65cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	69c	1,600$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	68c	1,591$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.81	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	27c	1,580$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	48c	1,567$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.15	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	12c	1,542$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.51	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	67c	1,535$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.88	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	68c	1,519$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.46	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	46c	1,486$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.33	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	64c	1,454$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.42	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	41c	1,450$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.27	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	39c	1,440$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.79	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes	15c	1,433$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.86	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	45c	1,426$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.02	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	66c	1,419$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.63	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	8c	1,354$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	36c	1,339$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.14	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	71c	1,335$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.97	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	28c	1,334$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.09	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33a…1e9fbacked No	39c	1,300$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.99	99	26.3%26 W · 73 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d06…b2eabacked Yes	74c	1,290$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	24c	1,290$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	61c	1,272$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	24c	1,270$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.92	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	62c	1,260$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.01	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	35c	1,207$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.31	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	69c	1,200$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	56c	1,198$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.36	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	59c	1,186$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	69c	1,178$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.02	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	27c	1,176$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.2	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4c…22c0backed Yes	24c	1,166$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.07	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	19c	1,160$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.6	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	1,150$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d5…a7afbacked Yes	61c	1,150$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	40c	1,122$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.91	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,107$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.9	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event