Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e9877e03d5716f5c2d4a44510d054e90a7f4c98365e1f608d9aa83524e116e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $454,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $306,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,643 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	23,294$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	1c	20,300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.62	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	3c	10,111$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.5	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	9,114$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.97	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	8,018$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.07	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	7,945$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.83	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	6,405$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.31	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,820$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	5,000$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.48	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	5c	4,888$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.03	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,744$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	4,630$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.94	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	4,375$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.05	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	5c	4,303$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.25	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	4,173$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.09	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	4,000$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	3,547$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	3,370$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.69	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	6c	3,245$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.38	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	6c	3,169$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.41	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	2c	3,046$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.19	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,769$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	5c	2,550$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.85	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	2,526$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	4c	2,453$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.75	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes	0c	2,427$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	2,425$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	2,406$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.8	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	2,400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	2,300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.51	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	1c	2,284$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	2,237$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.56	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,111$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.3	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	1c	2,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	2,050$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	2c	2,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	2c	2,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	1c	1,971$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	6c	1,956$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.54	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	1,876$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.31	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,858$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	4c	1,314$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.86	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	4c	1,228$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	4c	1,205$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.51	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,204$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	1c	1,170$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	1c	1,146$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	4c	1,143$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.66	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,140$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.82	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	1,121$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes	5c	1,067$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,036$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	1,005$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	1,002$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.87	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	910.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	868.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	778.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	6c	718$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	5c	699.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	698.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	4c	635.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.64	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	6c	611$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.59	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	4c	566.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	5c	545$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	5c	545$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	499.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	3c	497.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Yes	7c	477.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	2c	463.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	461.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	3c	444$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	434$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	6c	428.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	5c	427.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	7c	424.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	412.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e23…49a5backed Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	5c	393.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes	6c	389.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0504…3799backed Yes	6c	381.87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	366.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	5c	345.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f4…443cbacked Yes	5c	338.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.41	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	6c	320$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	5c	308.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	7c	282$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	5c	266.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	242.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c6…ad4bbacked Yes	5c	219.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event