Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2cfc519ca0282584ce27eb9dbfddecd32cb6e6cf0c79bd3c14193fdb139651

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $457,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $448,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,431 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcba3…6055backed No	78c	17,853$13,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,935.97	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	34c	12,166$4,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,981.93	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	70c	9,138$6,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.14	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	56c	9,084$5,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,041.64	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	26c	7,134$1,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.99	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	34c	7,107$2,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,402.6	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	54c	6,632$3,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,604.18	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	31c	6,311$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,334.42	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	49c	5,134$2,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.07	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	63c	5,115$3,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,877.66	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed No	50c	5,068$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.32	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	41c	4,805$1,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,843.06	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	51c	3,962$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013.07	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	79c	3,859$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.68	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	44c	3,858$1,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683.08	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	50c	3,520$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.17	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	71c	3,413$2,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.51	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	45c	3,388$1,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.52	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	28c	3,011$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160.53	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	64c	2,993$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.8	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	37c	2,956$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.11	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	52c	2,849$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.77	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	49c	2,820$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.03	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	64c	2,760$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.96	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	48c	2,760$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.7	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	48c	2,717$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.84	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	21c	2,700$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.99	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	47c	2,690$1,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.67	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	2,614$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,201.16	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	40c	2,503$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,486$1,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,775.3	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	54c	2,338$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.39	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	57c	2,291$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.67	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	36c	2,224$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.37	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	37c	2,173$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,375.19	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	37c	2,146$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,346.78	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	47c	2,106$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.57	308	54.9%169 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	34c	2,054$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.12	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	2,052$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,756.7	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	17c	2,000$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.49	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	37c	1,978$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,239.68	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	24c	1,951$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,488.97	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Yes	69c	1,944$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.09	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	30c	1,937$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.93	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	28c	1,879$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350.17	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	80c	1,842$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.63	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked No	63c	1,800$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.53	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	66c	1,795$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.7	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed No	37c	1,720$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.09	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	30c	1,614$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.92	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	42c	1,590$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.84	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	38c	1,502$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.76	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	32c	1,447$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.12	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	33c	1,434$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.89	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	46c	1,406$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.36	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	31c	1,344$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.24	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	30c	1,328$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.53	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes	61c	1,324$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.7	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	50c	1,311$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.34	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986d…b351backed Yes	62c	1,289$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.72	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	24c	1,217$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.13	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes	30c	1,210$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.58	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	75c	1,200$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	35c	1,199$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.56	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	43c	1,194$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.07	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	27c	1,189$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.8	197	31%61 W · 136 L	+13.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	43c	1,185$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.23	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017e…be52backed Yes	39c	1,180$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.12	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked Yes	54c	1,139$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.12	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	24c	1,126$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.41	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	65c	1,110$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.12	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,107$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.1	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	58c	1,106$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.8	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	55c	1,092$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.79	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	18c	1,086$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.95	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	26c	1,085$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.95	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	12c	1,067$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.67	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	34c	1,061$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.68	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	73c	1,057$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.11	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	62c	1,039$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.38	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	28c	1,033$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.41	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	22c	1,033$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.43	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	49c	1,030$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.12	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	40c	1,023$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.69	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	49c	1,020$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.81	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	77c	1,017$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.71	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Yes	65c	1,000$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.8	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed No	76c	1,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	32c	995.51$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.95	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	22c	926.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.31	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	74c	926.19$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.93	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	60c	918$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.18	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	29c	907.42$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.42	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	22c	904.44$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.72	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	20c	900$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No	69c	897.16$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.11	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	74c	877.64$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.69	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event