Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6d722c3ec253b6141a1017ce72fea0a90f26fe2969d1f7864cb4cda9cbde9e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $558,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $307,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	30,325$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	17,572$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.16	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	0c	14,497$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	14,235$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	11,231$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.28	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	4c	11,001$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.26	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	10,140$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	9,795$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.31	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	1c	8,515$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.06	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	8,424$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.29	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	4c	8,354$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	7c	8,126$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.05	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	7,362$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.33	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	6,000$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	2c	5,780$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.31	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	4c	5,490$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.67	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	5,395$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.28	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	5,037$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.25	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	7c	4,904$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.31	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	4,873$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.8	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	4,617$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.09	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	4,563$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.24	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	11c	4,414$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.03	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	4,383$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.44	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	4,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.97	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	4,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	0c	3,846$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,780$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	3,692$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.69	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	3,231$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.39	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	7c	3,086$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.67	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	3,077$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.35	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	3,049$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.15	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	15c	2,968$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.66	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	8c	2,738$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.7	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	2,444$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	12c	2,376$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	13c	2,368$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.99	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	9c	2,332$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	12c	2,167$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.53	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	2,139$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	2,048$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.2	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	10c	2,021$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.91	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	8c	1,865$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.31	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	9c	1,828$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.82	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	7c	1,700$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.31	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbebb…28b8backed Yes	2c	1,660$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.27	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	1c	1,600$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	1c	1,563$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	11c	1,561$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.87	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	11c	1,559$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.93	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	13c	1,477$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.94	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	1c	1,468$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,460$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	2c	1,375$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	1,357$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.15	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	11c	1,339$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.22	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	9c	1,320$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.7	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,269$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	1,265$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	10c	1,245$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.23	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	11c	1,243$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.44	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	6c	1,243$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	1,225$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	10c	1,224$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.61	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	1,214$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	1,211$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.62	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	8c	1,192$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.93	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x496d…7fbbbacked Yes	13c	1,123$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	11c	1,096$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.78	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	4c	1,095$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.54	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	1,077$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.09	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	1,062$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	6c	1,050$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	1,005$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.77	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	9c	999.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	14c	982.81$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.96	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	8c	949.98$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.9	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	943.79$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.26	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	939.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.36	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	12c	915.8$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.79	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	9c	915.56$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.61	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	10c	886.79$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	3c	885.71$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	875.78$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.85	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	7c	821.13$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c79…50c4backed Yes	5c	821$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	5c	805.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	788.79$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	778.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…c200backed Yes	7c	765.87$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.78	158	20.9%33 W · 125 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	1c	755.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event