Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69937ce68c96fe22d994018d77dcfa89a45bde5e9d13e002696e1dd488bca04f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $455,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $323,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	11,201$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.1	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	11,114$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.57	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	10c	10,859$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.06	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	9c	10,704$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.5	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	10,476$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.9	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	9,905$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.74	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	0c	9,595$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.13	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	22c	8,864$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.89	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	6,702$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.08	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	6,596$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.91	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	11c	6,304$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.11	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	9c	6,273$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.59	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	5,989$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.39	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	76c	5,742$4,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.14	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	5,682$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.01	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	11c	5,575$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.55	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	15c	4,480$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.85	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	4,385$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.17	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	8c	4,112$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.75	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	4,044$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.12	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	3,883$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.53	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	3,799$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.82	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	12c	3,109$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.98	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	16c	2,648$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.83	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	5c	2,646$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.49	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	2,406$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.44	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	27c	2,368$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	14c	2,298$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	16c	2,247$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.51	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	80c	2,186$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.3	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	16c	2,104$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.42	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	13c	2,001$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	72c	2,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	15c	1,965$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.44	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	1,902$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.43	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	11c	1,779$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.27	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	1,771$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.11	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	8c	1,764$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.07	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	14c	1,764$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	1,761$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.07	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	12c	1,748$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.08	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	4c	1,700$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	16c	1,598$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.26	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	12c	1,578$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.75	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	1,500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	1,485$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.09	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	14c	1,416$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.61	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,410$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.95	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	28c	1,355$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.86	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	9c	1,336$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.97	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	26c	1,323$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.45	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b7…3d7ebacked Yes	15c	1,295$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.56	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	19c	1,293$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.99	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fa…8bcfbacked Yes	8c	1,225$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	1,172$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.09	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes	17c	1,170$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	18c	1,121$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.39	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,121$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.81	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	18c	1,100$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	9c	1,090$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.75	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	78c	1,086$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.94	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	9c	1,085$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	77c	1,083$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.37	386	48.2%186 W · 200 L	+15.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	9c	1,062$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.54	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	26c	1,055$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.63	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	6c	1,046$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.78	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes	5c	1,037$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	1c	1,033$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	13c	1,005$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.26	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	7c	1,001$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	216	6%13 W · 203 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7461…3515backed Yes	10c	999.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-38%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	7c	974.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	970$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	20c	928.6$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.61	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	8c	923.26$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.86	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	9c	884.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.32	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe2…d740backed Yes	15c	856.82$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	11c	833.09$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	15c	813.55$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.07	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	9c	778.85$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	11c	776.49$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.39	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	13c	775.89$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.15	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ec…e25abacked Yes	21c	767.76$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.1	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed Yes	28c	755.52$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.49	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	7c	731.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	23c	715.43$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.36	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	11c	713.77$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.26	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	1c	700$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d662backed Yes	16c	699.98$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	15c	671.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	18c	633.81$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.06	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event