Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0f1de39ecacd6b60413e6950accc16b811d5bd289a43729044d52b92de9c19

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $167,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x99fa…8bcfbacked Yes	0c	47,400$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	10,250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	5,807$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.82	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	4,844$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.04	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	3c	3,335$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	3,256$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	3,229$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.25	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,834$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.51	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	0c	2,812$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes	2c	2,202$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…fcabbacked Yes	1c	2,028$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	4c	2,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.71	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	5c	1,651$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.31	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,577$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	5c	1,289$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	117	4.3%5 W · 112 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…d34bbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	888.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f4…443cbacked Yes	2c	856$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	745.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	2c	556.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	499.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.85	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	432.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8914…36d5backed Yes	5c	416.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	356.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886c…6af3backed Yes	5c	350$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	4c	314.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	12c	300$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	7c	278.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	5c	239.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	6c	231$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8209…9a45backed Yes	5c	229.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	5c	222.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	7c	148.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event