Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96c10982e8ce77375066bd457aa0e7e074f2b69a571b87796593ef0028937c2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $316,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,209 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa639…7135backed Yes	0c	30,993$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	22,806$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	16,769$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.77	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fa…8bcfbacked Yes	3c	10,583$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes	0c	5,442$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.79	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+5.8wins	+0.14per pick	12cpaid	+188.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	3c	5,393$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.39	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	2c	5,388$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,227$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes	1c	5,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	4,588$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.58	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	4,529$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.71	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	4,414$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	4,390$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	4,320$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	3,773$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,452$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	1c	2,970$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	2,729$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.79	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	2,404$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.52	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	0c	2,357$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	2c	1,989$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	1,941$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.15	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	1,667$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.76	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,552$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.53	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	13c	1,509$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.01	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	1,454$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7017…8118backed Yes	4c	1,346$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,339$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.78	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	12c	1,295$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.53	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,280$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	9c	1,254$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.29	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,239$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.93	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	18c	1,204$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.89	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	4c	1,024$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	999.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	999.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	9c	968.96$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.7	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	917.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	6c	885.95$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.31	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	18c	853.21$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.37	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	4c	834.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	5c	805.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes	4c	804.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	771.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	755.01$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	699.81$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	2c	695.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…ded8backed Yes	5c	653.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	623.5$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	19c	609.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.74	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3708…cf67backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	4c	550$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f26…438bbacked Yes	17c	544.24$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.52	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes	2c	530.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	6c	489.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	7c	480$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	13c	475.23$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	11c	450$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	3c	431.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	417.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	8c	381.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	13c	374.6$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	16c	362$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2923…77d5backed Yes	14c	334.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	330.63$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.13	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes	4c	325.26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	320.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966b…8585backed Yes	3c	306.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…287cbacked Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	4c	290.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	14c	264.3$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	5c	255.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d32…b3c5backed Yes	15c	252$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Yes	16c	247.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes	18c	227.39$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	14c	219.93$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	7c	212.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecd…9b27backed Yes	7c	205.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	16c	201$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e7…c338backed Yes	17c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1d…fa38backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	6c	188.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bd…aff2backed Yes	8c	185$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	9c	180.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x731b…83a2backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	8c	157.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	16c	155.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	8c	151.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	13c	150.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	7c	143$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a1…1d19backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	11c	122.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	13c	118.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	12c	118.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event