Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da6699fccd8ec465361227d2e545e6041875315399286a13afbc962c0c45169

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $301,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $140,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,964 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd19c…f16bbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	0%0 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	20,109$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.22	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	8,423$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.37	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	1c	6,882$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.03	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	6,502$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	6,373$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.22	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	1c	6,247$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	1c	5,974$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.84	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,340$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	5,307$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,164$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,004$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	4,867$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	4,824$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,942$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	3,723$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	3,115$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.87	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	3,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	2,450$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	2,393$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0504…3799backed Yes	1c	1,615$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	2c	1,609$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	1,495$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	1,351$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	1c	1,288$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	8c	1,278$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.13	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	1c	1,174$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	1,144$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	1,109$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	1,104$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4c…4277backed Yes	1c	888.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	704.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	2c	600.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	3c	589.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	2c	584.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	2c	504.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	12c	364.87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…fcabbacked Yes	3c	359.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event