Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322879bd32760188a194ecfba59761b7c22395e2924415d60ffd181297abd53d

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $344,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $191,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa639…7135backed Yes	1c	33,641$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.42	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6442…a891backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	7,777$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	7,731$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Yes	0c	6,559$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	6,085$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.73	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	5,156$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.39	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fa…8bcfbacked Yes	6c	5,077$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	5,036$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.84	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	3,974$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.07	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	3,874$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	3,824$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	16c	3,561$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.7	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	5c	3,246$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.02	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	3,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	21c	2,812$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.03	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,752$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.21	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	2,476$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.47	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	2c	2,450$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	2,445$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.61	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…5d4cbacked Yes	3c	2,427$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	14c	2,415$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.93	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	14c	2,392$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.9	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	2,038$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.18	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	2,034$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.49	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	9c	2,027$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.43	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,000$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.49	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	1,994$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	14c	1,891$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.1	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fec…8136backed Yes	12c	1,856$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	1,845$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.9	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	1,779$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.78	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	1,684$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	1,590$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	2c	1,551$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	1,506$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	6c	1,505$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.54	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	1,481$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	14c	1,458$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.64	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,420$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.25	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	1,355$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.43	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	8c	1,315$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.58	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	18c	1,270$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.6	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes	16c	1,228$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,140$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.01	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8b…fb0abacked Yes	17c	1,133$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5e…343cbacked Yes	1c	1,094$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	20c	1,018$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	20c	1,006$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b7…3d7ebacked Yes	7c	982.57$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	968.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	4c	949.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	10c	900.88$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	11c	898.4$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	894.86$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.15	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes	8c	872.42$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.62	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+5.8wins	+0.14per pick	12cpaid	+188.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	10c	864.04$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.95	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ec…e25abacked Yes	5c	830.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8196…0954backed Yes	1c	821.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	3c	784$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	652.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f26…438bbacked Yes	15c	629.49$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	8c	628.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.3	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe2…d740backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	19c	600$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.3	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	6c	581.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	19c	539.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ddd4backed Yes	14c	532.68$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.58	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	4c	515$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	508.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14dd…7a4abacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+100%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	3c	446.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3425…489fbacked Yes	12c	417$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	8c	412.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	16c	402.27$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdd…dacebacked Yes	6c	401.88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	14c	399.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06dd…9534backed Yes	16c	333.81$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	3c	313.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	14c	310$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b6…554ebacked Yes	8c	307.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	10c	301.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1617…d662backed Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2923…77d5backed Yes	16c	295.34$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	5c	288.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	16c	287.53$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	5c	282.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	19c	264.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…09cdbacked Yes	18c	245.61$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	10c	235.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Yes	17c	234.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event