TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x552c…be63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT14314%20 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+817.2%+$180.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.53
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$66.42
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.12
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.46
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$49.8
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$566.14
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.64
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71.06
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,538.1%+$223.01
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$151.44
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$184.38
Will Jara win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$78.76
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$77.71
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.44
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$104.36
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.94
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.3
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+440.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+57.5%+$7.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.