Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf29510341e7437f067af2cb107f69d617975a734646b4a6c86089242c8daa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,464,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,464,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 554 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a8…d34dbacked Yes | 37c | 92,480$33,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,784.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 32c | 86,609$27,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,938.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 56c | 78,482$44,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,255.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 33c | 74,744$24,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,109.21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 51c | 63,238$32,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,097.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 0c | 34,266$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 35c | 34,248$12,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,134.54 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 51c | 28,866$14,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,090.57 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 20c | 25,789$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…d708backed Yes | 24c | 25,744$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 25,578$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed Yes | 4c | 25,000$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 37c | 23,364$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,706.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 69c | 22,210$15,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,341.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 61c | 20,467$12,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,433.02 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…88b7backed Yes | 67c | 17,990$11,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,990.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 63c | 16,000$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 63c | 15,995$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 42c | 14,795$6,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 56c | 14,027$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 56c | 13,506$7,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.2 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 54c | 13,360$7,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,263.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 69c | 13,124$9,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fba…db3abacked Yes | 76c | 13,082$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 12c | 12,868$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…ba93backed No | 51c | 11,870$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 24c | 11,696$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 63c | 11,367$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,154.75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 16c | 10,736$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.33 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 37c | 10,028$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 65c | 10,006$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 34c | 9,800$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,454.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…cd58backed Yes | 72c | 9,708$6,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,995.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 41c | 9,316$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.72 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 38c | 8,725$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 42c | 8,131$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 62c | 7,859$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 7,855$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…0203backed Yes | 57c | 7,845$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 51c | 7,589$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…58dbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,373$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 33c | 7,101$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.4 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 45c | 7,013$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.01 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 78c | 7,000$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Yes | 58c | 7,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 61c | 6,759$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 66c | 6,505$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2884backed Yes | 66c | 6,334$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 48c | 6,141$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,330$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 59c | 5,095$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,968$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 61c | 4,909$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.55 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 4c | 4,828$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 62c | 4,814$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.21 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 37c | 4,737$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 33c | 4,228$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…4bb9backed Yes | 37c | 4,228$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 8c | 4,170$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee29…8c8bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,132$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 77c | 4,086$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.88 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…9b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 3,723$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 37c | 3,491$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.14 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 46c | 3,400$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.57 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 5c | 3,400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 49c | 3,250$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 35c | 3,205$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.32 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…5016backed Yes | 35c | 3,174$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,135$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Yes | 54c | 3,085$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,954$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 2,945$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.85 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 67c | 2,906$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…7da5backed Yes | 68c | 2,906$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3d9abacked Yes | 1c | 2,868$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…59e0backed Yes | 56c | 2,809$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…07ddbacked Yes | 55c | 2,643$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 61c | 2,615$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…b66dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,569$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 67c | 2,528$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.52 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 33c | 2,458$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.01 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed Yes | 48c | 2,397$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,300$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 53c | 2,292$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 44c | 2,270$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 37c | 2,250$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 75c | 2,225$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 38c | 2,200$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.99 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,150$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 58c | 2,132$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?this page
- Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.