World Politics · resolved market
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafe3a2c8f98492c5782570d109c769168b8a4a6eff644d293457cc421c16d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 16,194$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.68 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed Yes | 12c | 14,556$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…6762backed Yes | 19c | 7,970$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 11c | 6,784$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.16 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,886$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…3e3cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,813$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 3,583$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.39 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 18c | 3,489$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 12c | 3,248$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.22 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,157$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…103dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,100$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 14c | 2,891$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 11c | 2,872$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…66aabacked Yes | 21c | 2,590$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…abc7backed Yes | 6c | 2,514$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,324$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 2,059$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…0d48backed Yes | 15c | 2,038$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…181abacked Yes | 13c | 1,923$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed Yes | 15c | 1,711$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 14c | 1,554$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.28 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,545$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…c012backed Yes | 7c | 1,395$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…2e35backed Yes | 20c | 1,393$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 16c | 1,297$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,286$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes | 11c | 1,268$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 1,256$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…3438backed Yes | 19c | 1,150$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…ace1backed Yes | 22c | 1,129$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 36c | 1,080$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…f79cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,079$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0544…83b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,054$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes | 19c | 1,027$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…38a5backed Yes | 25c | 997.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…f55fbacked Yes | 16c | 937.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…0486backed Yes | 17c | 934.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 928.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked Yes | 8c | 910.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…be63backed Yes | 12c | 904.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 18c | 904$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…941bbacked Yes | 17c | 898.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…a11dbacked Yes | 6c | 898.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…2670backed Yes | 19c | 893.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 860.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dd…1114backed Yes | 12c | 831.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…b9c9backed Yes | 18c | 825.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…8280backed Yes | 25c | 805.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 3c | 799.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…9c2dbacked Yes | 14c | 747.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…d2a3backed Yes | 15c | 716.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 10c | 706.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…582cbacked Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b73…3d80backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…4f91backed Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…fd88backed Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…de2fbacked Yes | 4c | 686.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…e8d0backed Yes | 27c | 649.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 31c | 638$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 6c | 635.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…39ccbacked Yes | 20c | 623.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…fc41backed Yes | 18c | 599.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 25c | 590.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…2b23backed Yes | 19c | 587.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 574.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d44…994dbacked Yes | 18c | 573.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…c293backed Yes | 8c | 573.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…6074backed Yes | 18c | 549.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…8f9dbacked Yes | 19c | 536.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 4c | 526.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 19c | 523.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 2c | 520$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 516.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…85e1backed Yes | 8c | 515.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…829bbacked Yes | 20c | 498.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…269bbacked No | 75c | 493.37$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa045…13b3backed Yes | 14c | 476.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…1654backed Yes | 19c | 471.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…5e96backed Yes | 11c | 458.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Yes | 11c | 436.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 425$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…3dbabacked Yes | 10c | 412.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…b928backed Yes | 19c | 411.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Yes | 16c | 409.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…538abacked Yes | 6c | 406.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…96e2backed Yes | 25c | 403.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…6437backed Yes | 13c | 396.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…45adbacked Yes | 3c | 395.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Yes | 5c | 389$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…b7b0backed Yes | 19c | 388.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 27c | 383.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…ae18backed Yes | 8c | 370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…4b3fbacked Yes | 16c | 366.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 74c | 332.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb1…79d9backed Yes | 9c | 321.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…9439backed Yes | 12c | 313.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.